Sawnwood (Coniferous) Market

The global sawnwood (coniferous) market is projected to experience growth in both volume and value terms from 2022 to 2030. Consumption is expected to increase with a CAGR of +2.3%, reaching 429M cubic meters by 2030. The market value is forecasted to rise at a CAGR of +4.7%, reaching $162.8B by the end of 2030. Major consuming countries include the United States, China, and Canada, while major exporters include Russia, Sweden, and Germany. Import and export prices have shown fluctuations over the years, with notable growth rates in certain countries.

Market Forecast

Driven by increasing demand for sawnwood (coniferous) worldwide, the market is expected to continue an upward consumption trend over the next eight-year period. Market performance is forecast to retain its current trend pattern, expanding with an anticipated CAGR of +2.3% for the period from 2022 to 2030, which is projected to bring the market volume to 429M cubic meters by the end of 2030.

In value terms, the market is forecast to increase with an anticipated CAGR of +4.7% for the period from 2022 to 2030, which is projected to bring the market value to $162.8B (in nominal prices) by the end of 2030.

Consumption

World Consumption of Sawnwood (Coniferous)

After three years of growth, consumption of sawnwood (coniferous) decreased by -0.4% to 356M cubic meters in 2022. The total consumption volume increased at an average annual rate of +2.5% from 2012 to 2022; the trend pattern remained relatively stable, with somewhat noticeable fluctuations being observed throughout the analyzed period. Over the period under review, global consumption reached the maximum volume at 361M cubic meters in 2016; however, from 2017 to 2022, consumption remained at a lower figure.

The global sawnwood (coniferous) market value reached $112.6B in 2022, remaining stable against the previous year. This figure reflects the total revenues of producers and importers (excluding logistics costs, retail marketing costs, and retailers' margins, which will be included in the final consumer price). The market value increased at an average annual rate of +4.0% from 2012 to 2022; the trend pattern indicated some noticeable fluctuations being recorded throughout the analyzed period. Over the period under review, the global market attained the peak level at $116.5B in 2016; however, from 2017 to 2022, consumption failed to regain momentum.

Consumption By Country

The countries with the highest volumes of consumption in 2022 were the United States (71M cubic meters), China (61M cubic meters) and Canada (30M cubic meters), together comprising 45% of global consumption. Germany, Japan, Russia, France, the UK, Belgium, Sweden, Turkey, Austria and Australia lagged somewhat behind, together comprising a further 27%.

From 2012 to 2022, the biggest increases were recorded for Belgium (with a CAGR of +21.0%), while consumption for the other global leaders experienced more modest paces of growth.

In value terms, the largest sawnwood (coniferous) markets worldwide were China ($32.6B), the United States ($19.6B) and Canada ($14.1B), with a combined 59% share of the global market. Germany, Japan, the UK, Russia, Sweden, France, Austria, Belgium, Turkey and Australia lagged somewhat behind, together accounting for a further 20%.

Belgium, with a CAGR of +16.0%, saw the highest growth rate of market size in terms of the main consuming countries over the period under review, while market for the other global leaders experienced more modest paces of growth.

The countries with the highest levels of sawnwood (coniferous) per capita consumption in 2022 were Canada (784 cubic meters per 1000 persons), Belgium (773 cubic meters per 1000 persons) and Austria (686 cubic meters per 1000 persons).

From 2012 to 2022, the most notable rate of growth in terms of consumption, amongst the main consuming countries, was attained by Belgium (with a CAGR of +20.5%), while consumption for the other global leaders experienced more modest paces of growth.

Production

World Production of Sawnwood (Coniferous)

In 2022, global sawnwood (coniferous) production fell to 350M cubic meters, dropping by -1.8% on 2021 figures. The total output volume increased at an average annual rate of +2.0% over the period from 2012 to 2022; the trend pattern remained consistent, with somewhat noticeable fluctuations being recorded throughout the analyzed period. The pace of growth was the most pronounced in 2013 when the production volume increased by 4.5%. Over the period under review, global production hit record highs at 364M cubic meters in 2018; however, from 2019 to 2022, production failed to regain momentum.

In value terms, sawnwood (coniferous) production dropped to $103.9B in 2022 estimated in export price. Overall, production, however, enjoyed a tangible increase. The pace of growth appeared the most rapid in 2015 with an increase of 83%. Global production peaked at $238B in 2016; however, from 2017 to 2022, production stood at a somewhat lower figure.

Production By Country

The countries with the highest volumes of production in 2022 were the United States (64M cubic meters), Canada (36M cubic meters) and China (35M cubic meters), together comprising 39% of global production. Russia, Germany, Sweden, Finland, Austria, Brazil, Japan, the Netherlands, Chile and France lagged somewhat behind, together comprising a further 40%.

From 2012 to 2022, the biggest increases were recorded for the Netherlands (with a CAGR of +12.2%), while production for the other global leaders experienced more modest paces of growth.

Imports

World Imports of Sawnwood (Coniferous)

In 2022, after four years of growth, there was significant decline in supplies from abroad of sawnwood (coniferous), when their volume decreased by -21.4% to 127M cubic meters. The total import volume increased at an average annual rate of +1.6% over the period from 2012 to 2022; however, the trend pattern indicated some noticeable fluctuations being recorded throughout the analyzed period. The pace of growth was the most pronounced in 2019 with an increase of 14% against the previous year. Global imports peaked at 161M cubic meters in 2021, and then reduced remarkably in the following year.

In value terms, sawnwood (coniferous) imports contracted notably to $32.1B in 2022. Overall, total imports indicated temperate growth from 2012 to 2022: its value increased at an average annual rate of +3.6% over the last decade. The trend pattern, however, indicated some noticeable fluctuations being recorded throughout the analyzed period. Based on 2022 figures, imports increased by +53.9% against 2017 indices. The most prominent rate of growth was recorded in 2021 when imports increased by 56%. As a result, imports reached the peak of $43.5B, and then dropped dramatically in the following year.

Imports By Country

In 2022, China (26M cubic meters), distantly followed by Belgium (10M cubic meters), the United States (9.9M cubic meters), Japan (6.5M cubic meters), the UK (6.4M cubic meters) and the Netherlands (6M cubic meters) represented the largest importers of sawnwood (coniferous), together creating 51% of total imports. Italy (4.6M cubic meters), France (4.4M cubic meters), Spain (4M cubic meters), Germany (3.7M cubic meters), the Czech Republic (2.8M cubic meters), Ireland (2.5M cubic meters) and Mexico (2.3M cubic meters) held a relatively small share of total imports.

Imports into China increased at an average annual rate of +3.1% from 2012 to 2022. At the same time, Ireland (+33.1%), Belgium (+19.4%), the Czech Republic (+17.3%), Spain (+9.6%), the Netherlands (+7.0%), Mexico (+6.2%), France (+3.5%) and the UK (+1.9%) displayed positive paces of growth. Moreover, Ireland emerged as the fastest-growing importer imported in the world, with a CAGR of +33.1% from 2012-2022. By contrast, Italy (-1.4%), Germany (-2.7%), Japan (-3.3%) and the United States (-4.1%) illustrated a downward trend over the same period. While the share of Belgium (+6.6 p.p.), China (+2.8 p.p.), the Netherlands (+1.9 p.p.), Ireland (+1.9 p.p.), the Czech Republic (+1.7 p.p.) and Spain (+1.7 p.p.) increased significantly in terms of the global imports from 2012-2022, the share of Germany (-1.6 p.p.), Japan (-3.3 p.p.) and the United States (-6.2 p.p.) displayed negative dynamics. The shares of the other countries remained relatively stable throughout the analyzed period.

In value terms, the largest sawnwood (coniferous) importing markets worldwide were China ($5.9B), the United States ($4.1B) and the UK ($2.3B), with a combined 39% share of global imports. Japan, Italy, Germany, France, the Netherlands, Mexico, Belgium, Spain, the Czech Republic and Ireland lagged somewhat behind, together comprising a further 29%.

Ireland, with a CAGR of +13.9%, recorded the highest rates of growth with regard to the value of imports, in terms of the main importing countries over the period under review, while purchases for the other global leaders experienced more modest paces of growth.

Import Prices By Country

In 2022, the average sawnwood (coniferous) import price amounted to $254 per cubic meter, falling by -6% against the previous year. Over the last decade, it increased at an average annual rate of +1.9%. The pace of growth appeared the most rapid in 2021 an increase of 56% against the previous year. As a result, import price attained the peak level of $270 per cubic meter, and then contracted in the following year.

There were significant differences in the average prices amongst the major importing countries. In 2022, amid the top importers, the country with the highest price was the United States ($416 per cubic meter), while Belgium ($54 per cubic meter) was amongst the lowest.

From 2012 to 2022, the most notable rate of growth in terms of prices was attained by Italy (+6.1%), while the other global leaders experienced more modest paces of growth.

Exports

World Exports of Sawnwood (Coniferous)

In 2022, global sawnwood (coniferous) exports contracted notably to 120M cubic meters, with a decrease of -24.7% on the previous year. Over the period under review, exports, however, saw a relatively flat trend pattern. The pace of growth appeared the most rapid in 2018 with an increase of 39%. As a result, the exports reached the peak of 170M cubic meters. From 2019 to 2022, the growth of the global exports remained at a somewhat lower figure.

In value terms, sawnwood (coniferous) exports shrank notably to $31.3B in 2022. Overall, total exports indicated tangible growth from 2012 to 2022: its value increased at an average annual rate of +3.3% over the last decade. The trend pattern, however, indicated some noticeable fluctuations being recorded throughout the analyzed period. Based on 2022 figures, exports increased by +3.7% against 2018 indices. The growth pace was the most rapid in 2021 with an increase of 58%. As a result, the exports reached the peak of $46.3B, and then fell notably in the following year.

Exports By Country

In 2022, Russia (23M cubic meters), distantly followed by Sweden (13M cubic meters), Germany (10M cubic meters), the Netherlands (9.9M cubic meters), Finland (8.6M cubic meters), Canada (6.8M cubic meters) and Austria (5.7M cubic meters) were the key exporters of sawnwood (coniferous), together generating 64% of total exports. Chile (3.6M cubic meters), Brazil (3.1M cubic meters), the United States (3M cubic meters), Latvia (3M cubic meters), Belgium (2.9M cubic meters) and Belarus (2.7M cubic meters) followed a long way behind the leaders.

From 2012 to 2022, the most notable rate of growth in terms of shipments, amongst the main exporting countries, was attained by the Netherlands (with a CAGR of +35.3%), while the other global leaders experienced more modest paces of growth.

In value terms, the largest sawnwood (coniferous) supplying countries worldwide were Russia ($4.9B), Sweden ($4.5B) and Germany ($3.7B), together accounting for 42% of global exports. Finland, Canada, Austria, Latvia, the United States, Chile, Brazil, Belarus, Belgium and the Netherlands lagged somewhat behind, together comprising a further 39%.

Brazil, with a CAGR of +17.9%, saw the highest rates of growth with regard to the value of exports, in terms of the main exporting countries over the period under review, while shipments for the other global leaders experienced more modest paces of growth.

Export Prices By Country

The average sawnwood (coniferous) export price stood at $260 per cubic meter in 2022, reducing by -10.2% against the previous year. Overall, export price indicated notable growth from 2012 to 2022: its price increased at an average annual rate of +3.0% over the last decade. The trend pattern, however, indicated some noticeable fluctuations being recorded throughout the analyzed period. Based on 2022 figures, sawnwood (coniferous) export price increased by +66.3% against 2017 indices. The pace of growth was the most pronounced in 2021 when the average export price increased by 54% against the previous year. As a result, the export price attained the peak level of $290 per cubic meter, and then contracted in the following year.

There were significant differences in the average prices amongst the major exporting countries. In 2022, amid the top suppliers, the country with the highest price was Latvia ($381 per cubic meter), while the Netherlands ($26 per cubic meter) was amongst the lowest.

From 2012 to 2022, the most notable rate of growth in terms of prices was attained by Latvia (+7.8%), while the other global leaders experienced more modest paces of growth.

Source: IndexBox Market Intelligence Platform