Gummed Paper Market

The global gummed paper market is expected to experience a slight increase in consumption and production from 2022 to 2030, with a forecasted CAGR of +1.0% in volume and +3.0% in value. The top consuming countries in 2022 were China, the United States, and India, while the top production countries were China, the United States, and India. Import and export volumes and values also saw fluctuations, with the United States leading in exports and Canada leading in imports. Average prices varied by country, with the UK having the highest export price and Canada having the lowest. Overall, the gummed paper market is expected to continue growing in the coming years.

Market Forecast

Driven by rising demand for gummed paper worldwide, the market is expected to start an upward consumption trend over the next eight years. The performance of the market is forecast to increase slightly, with an anticipated CAGR of +1.0% for the period from 2022 to 2030, which is projected to bring the market volume to 698K tons by the end of 2030.

In value terms, the market is forecast to increase with an anticipated CAGR of +3.0% for the period from 2022 to 2030, which is projected to bring the market value to $2.7B (in nominal prices) by the end of 2030.

Consumption

World Consumption of Gummed Paper And Paperboard (Excluding Self-Adhesives)

For the fourth consecutive year, the global market recorded decline in consumption of gummed paper and paperboard (excluding self-adhesives), which decreased by -0.3% to 644K tons in 2022. Over the period under review, consumption saw a perceptible decline. Over the period under review, global consumption hit record highs at 1M tons in 2014; however, from 2015 to 2022, consumption stood at a somewhat lower figure.

The global gummed paper market value reduced modestly to $2.1B in 2022, remaining constant against the previous year. This figure reflects the total revenues of producers and importers (excluding logistics costs, retail marketing costs, and retailers' margins, which will be included in the final consumer price). Overall, consumption continues to indicate a noticeable contraction. Global consumption peaked at $3.6B in 2014; however, from 2015 to 2022, consumption remained at a lower figure.

Consumption By Country

The countries with the highest volumes of consumption in 2022 were China (166K tons), the United States (94K tons) and India (63K tons), together comprising 50% of global consumption. Pakistan, Brazil, Indonesia, Canada, Japan, Turkey, Spain, Finland and Iran lagged somewhat behind, together accounting for a further 23%.

From 2012 to 2022, the biggest increases were recorded for Spain (with a CAGR of +40.1%), while consumption for the other global leaders experienced more modest paces of growth.

In value terms, China ($502M), the United States ($326M) and India ($170M) were the countries with the highest levels of market value in 2022, with a combined 46% share of the global market. Japan, Canada, Brazil, Pakistan, Indonesia, Spain, Turkey, Finland and Iran lagged somewhat behind, together accounting for a further 22%.

Among the main consuming countries, Spain, with a CAGR of +36.9%, recorded the highest rates of growth with regard to market size over the period under review, while market for the other global leaders experienced more modest paces of growth.

In 2022, the highest levels of gummed paper per capita consumption was registered in Finland (1,858 kg per 1000 persons), followed by Canada (506 kg per 1000 persons), the United States (279 kg per 1000 persons) and Spain (220 kg per 1000 persons), while the world average per capita consumption of gummed paper was estimated at 82 kg per 1000 persons.

In Finland, gummed paper per capita consumption remained relatively stable over the period from 2012-2022. In the other countries, the average annual rates were as follows: Canada (+0.1% per year) and the United States (+3.4% per year).

Production

World Production of Gummed Paper And Paperboard (Excluding Self-Adhesives)

In 2022, global production of gummed paper and paperboard (excluding self-adhesives) amounted to 643K tons, standing approx. at the previous year's figure. In general, production, however, continues to indicate a pronounced descent. The most prominent rate of growth was recorded in 2013 with an increase of 16% against the previous year. Global production peaked at 1M tons in 2014; however, from 2015 to 2022, production remained at a lower figure.

In value terms, gummed paper production expanded to $2.1B in 2022 estimated in export price. Over the period under review, production, however, saw a perceptible setback. The most prominent rate of growth was recorded in 2013 with an increase of 17%. Over the period under review, global production hit record highs at $3.2B in 2014; however, from 2015 to 2022, production remained at a lower figure.

Production By Country

The countries with the highest volumes of production in 2022 were China (176K tons), the United States (135K tons) and India (57K tons), with a combined 57% share of global production.

From 2012 to 2022, the biggest increases were recorded for the United States (with a CAGR of +7.4%), while production for the other global leaders experienced mixed trends in the production figures.

Imports

World Imports of Gummed Paper And Paperboard (Excluding Self-Adhesives)

In 2022, the amount of gummed paper and paperboard (excluding self-adhesives) imported worldwide shrank to 158K tons, waning by -5.4% against the previous year. In general, imports continue to indicate a relatively flat trend pattern. The most prominent rate of growth was recorded in 2021 when imports increased by 16%. As a result, imports attained the peak of 167K tons, and then shrank in the following year.

In value terms, gummed paper imports stood at $576M in 2022. The total import value increased at an average annual rate of +2.2% over the period from 2012 to 2022; the trend pattern indicated some noticeable fluctuations being recorded in certain years. The most prominent rate of growth was recorded in 2021 when imports increased by 27% against the previous year. Global imports peaked in 2022 and are expected to retain growth in years to come.

Imports By Country

In 2022, Canada (28K tons), distantly followed by India (11K tons), Germany (11K tons), the United States (11K tons) and the UK (9K tons) were the largest importers of gummed paper and paperboard (excluding self-adhesives), together making up 44% of total imports. The following importers - Spain (6.7K tons), Mexico (6.5K tons), France (5.5K tons), the Philippines (4.8K tons), Belgium (4.6K tons), Poland (3.9K tons), Italy (3.4K tons) and the Netherlands (3.3K tons) - together made up 24% of total imports.

Canada was also the fastest-growing in terms of the gummed paper and paperboard (excluding self-adhesives) imports, with a CAGR of +11.6% from 2012 to 2022. At the same time, Mexico (+9.6%), the Philippines (+8.3%), Poland (+5.8%), Belgium (+5.1%), Spain (+5.0%), the UK (+3.6%) and the Netherlands (+3.5%) displayed positive paces of growth. The United States and Germany experienced a relatively flat trend pattern. By contrast, India (-2.7%), Italy (-4.5%) and France (-6.7%) illustrated a downward trend over the same period. Canada (+12 p.p.), Mexico (+2.5 p.p.), the UK (+1.8 p.p.), Spain (+1.7 p.p.) and the Philippines (+1.7 p.p.) significantly strengthened its position in terms of the global imports, while India and France saw its share reduced by -2% and -3.2% from 2012 to 2022, respectively. The shares of the other countries remained relatively stable throughout the analyzed period.

In value terms, Canada ($129M) constitutes the largest market for imported gummed paper and paperboard (excluding self-adhesives) worldwide, comprising 22% of global imports. The second position in the ranking was taken by the United States ($33M), with a 5.8% share of global imports. It was followed by the UK, with a 5.7% share.

In Canada, gummed paper imports increased at an average annual rate of +22.9% over the period from 2012-2022. In the other countries, the average annual rates were as follows: the United States (-2.0% per year) and the UK (+4.4% per year).

Import Prices By Country

In 2022, the average gummed paper import price amounted to $3,654 per ton, picking up by 6.2% against the previous year. Over the last decade, it increased at an average annual rate of +2.6%. The most prominent rate of growth was recorded in 2021 when the average import price increased by 9.9% against the previous year. Global import price peaked in 2022 and is expected to retain growth in the near future.

There were significant differences in the average prices amongst the major importing countries. In 2022, amid the top importers, the country with the highest price was the Netherlands ($4,912 per ton), while India ($1,682 per ton) was amongst the lowest.

From 2012 to 2022, the most notable rate of growth in terms of prices was attained by the Philippines (+12.7%), while the other global leaders experienced more modest paces of growth.

Exports

World Exports of Gummed Paper And Paperboard (Excluding Self-Adhesives)

In 2022, after eight years of growth, there was decline in overseas shipments of gummed paper and paperboard (excluding self-adhesives), when their volume decreased by -4.3% to 157K tons. The total export volume increased at an average annual rate of +3.0% from 2012 to 2022; however, the trend pattern indicated some noticeable fluctuations being recorded in certain years. The growth pace was the most rapid in 2021 with an increase of 14%. As a result, the exports attained the peak of 164K tons, and then dropped in the following year.

In value terms, gummed paper exports expanded to $611M in 2022. In general, total exports indicated noticeable growth from 2012 to 2022: its value increased at an average annual rate of +4.0% over the last decade. The trend pattern, however, indicated some noticeable fluctuations being recorded throughout the analyzed period. Based on 2022 figures, exports increased by +67.7% against 2015 indices. The growth pace was the most rapid in 2021 when exports increased by 24%. The global exports peaked in 2022 and are likely to continue growth in years to come.

Exports By Country

The United States represented the key exporter of gummed paper and paperboard (excluding self-adhesives) in the world, with the volume of exports recording 52K tons, which was near 33% of total exports in 2022. Germany (26K tons) took a 17% share (based on physical terms) of total exports, which put it in second place, followed by China (6.7%) and Canada (5.3%). Italy (6.7K tons), the UK (6.3K tons), India (4.9K tons), South Korea (4.6K tons), Spain (4.5K tons), Sweden (4.2K tons), Belgium (4.1K tons), France (3.2K tons) and Poland (2.6K tons) held a minor share of total exports.

Exports from the United States increased at an average annual rate of +14.6% from 2012 to 2022. At the same time, India (+17.4%), Sweden (+10.7%), Belgium (+9.3%), Italy (+4.3%) and Germany (+2.0%) displayed positive paces of growth. Moreover, India emerged as the fastest-growing exporter exported in the world, with a CAGR of +17.4% from 2012-2022. China, the UK, Canada and Poland experienced a relatively flat trend pattern. By contrast, South Korea (-2.1%), Spain (-3.8%) and France (-7.0%) illustrated a downward trend over the same period. While the share of the United States (+22 p.p.) and India (+2.3 p.p.) increased significantly in terms of the global exports from 2012-2022, the share of China (-1.6 p.p.), Germany (-1.7 p.p.), South Korea (-2 p.p.), Spain (-2.8 p.p.) and France (-3.7 p.p.) displayed negative dynamics. The shares of the other countries remained relatively stable throughout the analyzed period.

In value terms, the United States ($220M) remains the largest gummed paper supplier worldwide, comprising 36% of global exports. The second position in the ranking was held by Germany ($85M), with a 14% share of global exports. It was followed by the UK, with a 6.9% share.

In the United States, gummed paper exports increased at an average annual rate of +16.7% over the period from 2012-2022. The remaining exporting countries recorded the following average annual rates of exports growth: Germany (+3.8% per year) and the UK (-0.6% per year).

Export Prices By Country

The average gummed paper export price stood at $3,891 per ton in 2022, rising by 7.6% against the previous year. Over the period under review, the export price showed a relatively flat trend pattern. The most prominent rate of growth was recorded in 2018 an increase of 13% against the previous year. Over the period under review, the average export prices reached the peak figure in 2022 and is likely to see gradual growth in the near future.

Prices varied noticeably by country of origin: amid the top suppliers, the country with the highest price was the UK ($6,662 per ton), while Canada ($2,534 per ton) was amongst the lowest.

From 2012 to 2022, the most notable rate of growth in terms of prices was attained by India (+7.8%), while the other global leaders experienced more modest paces of growth.

Source: IndexBox Market Intelligence Platform